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Churn trend for your store

How to read the churn trend chart, what “at risk + churned” means, and why it can differ from your Churned card.

Your dashboard includes a Churn trend chart labeled:

Churn trend: at risk + churned

This guide explains what that chart means, how to read it, and why it can show numbers even when your Churned (or even At risk) count looks like zero in Customer health.

What the chart is for

Customer health cards answer: Who is in each stage right now?

The churn trend chart answers a different question: Over the last several weeks, how many buyers had already gone quiet?

Quiet buyers are the people most likely to need a win-back: the same people you'd think of as At risk or Churned.

Use the chart to spot whether that quiet pool is growing, shrinking, or staying flat, not as a second copy of today's Churned card.

How to read the chart

What you seeWhat it means
W1 → W8About the last 8 weeks (W8 is the most recent week)
Height of each pointHow many buyers looked quiet that week
Line going upMore customers falling behind on reorders
Line going downFewer quiet customers: healthier repeat buying
Hover tooltipExact count for that week, e.g. 12 at risk + churned

If you see "Not enough weekly history yet," your store needs roughly 4 weeks of ordering customers before a weekly trend is meaningful.

What "at risk + churned" means here

The chart combines two ideas into one number:

  1. At risk. used to buy, but overdue
  2. Churned. gone quiet for a long time

So one point is not "Churned only." It is closer to: buyers who had already passed your store's "still active" window by that week.

Why Churned can be 0 but the chart still shows numbers

This is expected. The Customer health cards and the churn trend chart measure related things in different ways.

1. You're looking at Churned only. The chart adds At risk too

Example: At risk = 8, Churned = 0. The Churned card shows 0, but the chart can still show 8 for the latest week.

2. Quiet VIPs stay VIP on the cards, but can still count on the chart

If someone qualifies as VIP, they stay VIP even when they haven't ordered recently. The churn trend chart is watching quietness (time since last order), so a quiet VIP can still be included in the weekly quiet count.

3. The chart shows the last 8 weeks, not only "right now"

Even if this week is low (or zero), earlier weeks (W1, W7) can still have points on the line. The chart is a trend over time.

4. Latest week ≈ quiet buyers, not a copy of the Churned badge

Customer health counts people by their current stage label. The latest chart point estimates how many buyers with orders had already passed your active window. That is a close cousin of "at risk + churned," but not guaranteed to equal At risk + Churned cards, especially when VIPs are quiet.

Quick comparison

Customer health cardsChurn trend chart
QuestionWho is in each stage today?How many buyers looked quiet each week?
Churned cardOnly customers currently labeled ChurnedNot used alone
At riskSeparate cardCombined with churned in one series
VIPQuiet VIPs stay under VIPQuiet VIPs can still raise the line
Time rangeSnapshot nowAbout the last 8 weeks
Best useAct on today's listsSpot whether quiet buyers are rising or falling

What you should do with the chart

If you see…Try…
Line trending upCheck Needs attention and At risk / Churned lists; send win-backs sooner
Line flat but highQuiet pool isn't growing, but it's still large. Prioritize high-LTV customers first
Line trending downRepeat buying is improving. Keep welcome and second-order flows strong
Cards say 0 churned, chart still has pointsLook at At risk, quiet VIPs, and earlier weeks

FAQ

Is the chart wrong if Churned is 0?
Usually no. Confirm At risk, quiet VIPs, and older weeks on the chart.

Does the chart include people who never ordered?
No. Prospects (zero orders) are not part of churn trend.

Can I change what "quiet" means?
Yes, on Segmentation. Auto uses defaults; Manual lets you tune timing. See the Segmentation docs.

Where do I take action?
Use the chart for direction, then open Needs attention, Customers filtered to At risk or Churned, or VIP outreach for quiet high-value buyers.

Summary

  • Customer health = today's stage labels (Churned can honestly be 0).
  • Churn trend = weekly "quiet buyer" trend for at risk + churned, including cases Customer health keeps under VIP.
  • Seeing numbers on the chart while Churned shows 0 usually means At risk customers, quiet VIPs, or earlier weeks, not a broken dashboard.

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